In this webinar, Mark Zandi and the Moody’s Analytics team answer wide-ranging questions from audience participants stemming from the economic impact of COVID-19.
27 Apr 名门棋牌|Moody's Investors Service
Colin Ellis of the Credit Strategy & Research team discusses how the coronavirus crisis intersects with the six major credit themes we identified for 名门棋牌: recession risks, lower-for-longer interest rates, political risks, trade tensions, disruptive technologies and ESG impact.
Fiscal and monetary authorities are increasingly stepping up the level of support to their respective economies. Fiscal measures include immediate support to households in the form of tax relief and transfers, credit lines and subsidies to businesses and explicit government guarantees on bank loans.
The measures, which include increased fiscal spending and targeted monetary easing, will help contain the damage to the Chinese economy from the coronavirus outbreak and facilitate modest economic recovery beginning in the second half of 名门棋牌.
We project the US unemployment rate will reach 15.0% in the current quarter, as much of the economy remains shuttered. The rate will begin to taper off in the third quarter and continue to fall in each subsequent quarter through the end of 2021, provided the coronavirus crisis eases and businesses gradually resume normal operations.
We have lowered our 名门棋牌-21 real GDP forecasts for all G-20 economies, as the coronavirus crisis has led to a near shutdown of the global economy. The coronavirus also will have long-term economic implications that reshape trade, consumption patterns, and the nature of work in some sectors.
23 Apr 名门棋牌|Moody's Analytics
With the rapid deterioration in the global economy as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, Moody's Analytics team present an update to our economic outlook for Europe.
For the first time since 2008, positive industry sector outlooks vanished in the first quarter as coronavirus, travel restrictions, social distancing and an oil price shock pushed 20 of the 52 industry sector outlooks that we track in a negative direction.
Mickey Chadha from the Corporates team and Suzanne Miller from Ratings and Research talk about how the coronavirus crisis is causing severe dislocation in the US retail industry and how this is driving retail’s speculative-grade default rate forecast higher.
How will COVID-19 reshape the dynamics of office space as an income-generating asset class? This analysis looks back at how the sector has evolved over the last four decades and speculate on the near- and long-term effects of COVID-19, as well as the degree of impact by industry and geography.
The speculative-grade default rate for emerging market companies will likely rise significantly by the end of the year. We base our forecasts on the expectation of a global recession and widening high-yield spreads, as coronavirus-induced economic disruption and financial market turmoil have intensified.
28 Apr 名门棋牌|Moody's Analytics
Challenged by the COVID-19 pandemic and economic contraction, US retail properties will likely record historic measures of distress in 名门棋牌. How will retailers like Macy’s fare? In this video, Moody's Analytics head of commercial real estate Victor Calanog analyzes geographic concentration. A detailed analysis of both risk and pockets of strength and opportunity are necessary.
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